Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions

Wind drives in combination with weather routing can lower the fuel consumption of cargo ships significantly. For this reason, the author describes a mathematical method based on quantile regression for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route.

Uncertainty in Wind Power Generation and Weather Routing - Offshore Wind Power Logistics - Weather Routing - Ship Propulsion Energy - Wind Propulsion Systems - Statistical Pattern matching - Uncertainty in Weather Predictions - Estimation of Prediction Uncertainty - Prediction Intervals - Ensemble Prediction Systems - Quantile Regression - Local Energy Distribution Moments